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Bitcoin Crash Resumes: Is It Signaling Weakness?

Bitcoin Crash Resumes: There is a significant correction in the bitcoin market. A two-day decline of almost 11% caused investors to lose $250 billion. The market has dropped more than 8% in the last day, hindering the sector’s recovery and accelerating the bear run.

On Monday, the price of Bitcoin dropped sharply to a four-month low. Before trimming losses to trade at about $55,500 as of 3:15 a.m., it fell more than 6%. For weeks, the price of cryptocurrencies has been falling precipitously, and prominent tokens have seen similarly steep declines in value. This concerning pattern is fueled by investors’ generalized fear and panic selling, which is exacerbated by the creditors of the defunct Mt. Gox exchange.

The current events at Mt. Gox are not the only reason for the downturn in the cryptocurrency market.

The vast quantities of liquidation assets that criminal organizations own are the cause of the significant market sell-offs. The German government is making an effort to swiftly exchange hundreds of millions of dollars worth of Bitcoin for fiat money. Berlin has been transferring its reserves to Bitstamp, Coinbase, and Kraken exchanges since June. Concerns of significant sell-offs in the market have been aroused by these criminal gangs’ disposal of their assets. It is revealed by Arkham Intelligence that Germany is still holding roughly $2.2 billion in Bitcoin.

Why Did Today’s Bitcoin Crash Resumes?

More than 15% fell in the value of altcoins, including Ethereum, BNB, Cardano, XRP, and Toncoin. The last two days have seen notable losses for meme coins, AI coins, and tokens associated with the Solana ecosystem.

The bitcoin market is once again experiencing uncertainty, as investors are selling, this time targeting the Mt. Gox trust fund. This week will see the return of the first $10 billion in Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash payments.

CoinShares and JPMorgan anticipate a market meltdown. They fear that there may be an excessive amount of cryptocurrency sales. This can cause creditors to make a comeback.

Potentially Contributing Elements in the Bitcoin Price Decline

Following the most recent decline in Bitcoin, the whole cryptocurrency market as a whole now requires results. Experts have determined a few primary causes that are less likely to result in a fall. This is how they break the issue down:

  • The unique acquisition of a substantial portion of the Bitcoin coins that belonged to the creditors of the defunct cryptocurrency exchange Mt. Gox could be one reason for this week’s drop in the price of the cryptocurrency. Early in July, the overseers will restore the stocks to the legitimate owners.
  • Because these tokens were stuck out of the market for a while before they suddenly became available to the public, investors in the share market voiced their concerns that this development could result in a big selling of BTC.
  • Bitcoin Long-Term Holder (LTH) Inflation Rate: This measure examines how Bitcoin holders behave as well as the market. The LTH metric is the most straightforward way to analyze age distribution in traditional finance. An LTH value of 2.0 forecasts selling activity and denotes favorable market conditions. The LTH value of 1.9 indicates a possible decline and is near to prior peaks.
  • Bitcoin Dormancy Flow: This measure looks at the frequency of coin spending and compares it to general patterns. Approximately three months ahead of the market cycle top, Dormancy Flow typically peaks.

In tandem with the Bitcoin Crash resuming, other major cryptocurrencies

  • Ethereum (ETH) has dropped by about 6%, and its current price is $3,124.78.
  • At $133.2, Solana (SOL) is traded.
  • The price of Binance Coin (BNB), which is currently at $520.84, has also dropped by 7%.
  • Both Dogecoin (DOGE) and Shiba Inu (SHIB) lose about 10% of their value.

Read More: Crypto Market Caps: June 2024 Top 5

Recently, positions worth $90 million in short positions and nearly $590 million in long positions closed. The cryptocurrency market cap dropped from $2.24 trillion to $1.99 trillion in the last day, resulting in a loss of more than $150 billion for investors.

Conversely, there are around 17,500 BTC contracts with a put-call ratio of 0.67 and a notional value of $1.02 billion that are due to expire. Since 61,500 keys represent the maximum pain point, selling pressure will be applied to the price of Bitcoin when it is below $54,000 on the current market.

Macro Effects on the Bitcoin Collapse

Following the close of the previous session at a three-week low, the US dollar index (DXY) edged closer to 105 on Friday. The US 10-year Treasury rate dropped to 4.35% at the same time that the most recent ISM and employment statistics suggested a worse labor market.

Experts predict that the market will eventually rebound, regardless of how long it takes or if it makes sense to bet against cryptocurrencies. They predict that after a period of stabilization at the current level, the value of each token will increase to as much as $58,000 by the end of the week.

Forecasts for Bitcoin Prices: When Will They Drop Again?

Due to the market’s volatility, many people are unsure. Still, a few analysts believe that Bitcoin will exist in the future.

Standard Chartered analysts predict that Bitcoin will hit a new all-time high in August and climb above $100,000 by November when the presidential election is held. This is just one conceivable possibility, though, suggesting that Donald Trump will once more be supportive of Bitcoin. The value of Bitcoin might not be greatly impacted by the election. Either way, things could turn out: under Biden, the SEC could either stick to its current course of action or get more sympathetic to cryptocurrencies.

Further Information: Coinrexa

In the cryptocurrency market, the recent decline in Bitcoin’s price below $60,000 is significant, particularly given that the second quarter of 2024 is already three months old and the New Year has just begun.

Investors and analysts will be watching for a few indicators as we move past this period of reluctance. These variables, which range from national economic trends to particular cryptocurrency occurrences, will dictate how Bitcoin develops and if the market for cryptocurrencies collapses in the days ahead.

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